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  3. RaKotU

    USD/CAD gains as US Dollar firms on labor data, Canadian Dollar pressured

    1. U.S. labor data supports the dollar • USD/CAD has climbed toward the 1.39 area as the U.S. dollar firmed following mixed but resilient U.S. employment figures, including stronger-than-expected wage growth and a lower unemployment rate. This backdrop reinforces expectations that the Federal...
  4. RaKotU

    AUD/USD falls as US Dollar firms on labor data, Australian inflation disappoints

    Pair drifts lower on firm dollar and soft Aussie data AUD/USD has been trading around 0.6680 and weaker, extending recent losses as the U.S. dollar gains broad support following mixed but resilient U.S. labour data and disappointing Australian inflation readings. U.S. labour data boosts the...
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  7. RaKotU

    AUD/USD falls further to near 0.6680 as US Dollar outperforms, US NFP data eyed

    AUD/USD slides further to near 0.6680 as the U.S. Dollar outperforms ahead of NFP • The AUD/USD pair has extended its losing streak for a third consecutive session, sliding to around 0.6676–0.6680 in late European trading as the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) holds firm near 99.1 — a multi‑week high...
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  10. RaKotU

    GBP/USD slides for third consecutive day as firm US jobs data lifts Dollar

    Pound Sterling weakens against the U.S. Dollar • GBP/USD has declined for the third straight session, falling about 0.10% as the U.S. Dollar strengthens on firm U.S. labor market indicators that softened expectations for near‑term Federal Reserve rate cuts. At the time of reporting, the pair was...
  11. RaKotU

    USD/CAD steadies near monthly highs as markets await US NFP and Canada jobs data

    Key price action: • USD/CAD is trading near ~1.3875–1.3900, close to its highest levels since early December as the U.S. Dollar remains firm and the Canadian Dollar struggles on the defensive. • Broader USD strength — reflected in the U.S. Dollar Index near multi‑week highs — is helping keep...
  12. RaKotU

    EUR/USD slides to 1.1650 as strong US jobs data boosts Dollar

    Currency action: • The EUR/USD pair has dropped toward ~1.1650, extending losses for several sessions as robust U.S. labor market indicators support the U.S. Dollar. Traders see stronger‑than‑expected jobs data as reinforcing the USD ahead of the broader Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. • The...
    • RaKotU
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    • Replies: 0
    • Forum: Analysis & Ideas
  13. RaKotU

    DATA: Japan Household Spending November 2025: +2.9% y/y (vs expected -0.9%, prior -3.0%)

    Japan Household Spending Surges in November 2025 Household spending rose 2.9% year‑on‑year in November, a sharp rebound compared with the market expectation of –0.9% and well above October’s –3.0% decline. This marks a significant upside surprise, reflecting stronger consumer activity and...
  14. RaKotU

    NZD/USD keeps the red below 0.5750 after Chinese inflation data; focus remains on US NFP

    NZD/USD remains under selling pressure below 0.5750 after China’s inflation data and with focus on U.S. jobs data The NZD/USD pair has been trading below the 0.5750 level, extending its losing streak for the fourth consecutive day and lingering just below the mid‑0.5700s during early Asian...
  15. carxproveteran

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    • Forum: Courses
  16. carxproveteran

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    • Forum: Courses
  17. RaKotU

    Goldman says NFP unlikely to shift April Fed cut unless data sharply surprises

    Goldman Sachs says the upcoming NFP report is unlikely to change the timing of the first Federal Reserve interest‑rate cut in April unless the print is a significant surprise. The firm expects around 70,000 payrolls added, roughly in line with consensus, and notes that such a result would likely...
  18. RaKotU

    USD/CAD trades firmly near 1.3900 ahead of US-Canada employment data

    FX markets overview USD/CAD is holding near the 1.3880–1.3900 area, close to a monthly high, as traders position ahead of the U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) and Canada employment reports due for release. The pair’s strength reflects broader U.S. dollar resilience and ongoing pressure on the...
  19. RaKotU

    Japanese Yen struggles near weekly low vs. USD despite upbeat Household Spending data

    Japanese Yen struggles near weekly lows versus the U.S. Dollar as the USD/JPY pair remains under pressure despite stronger‑than‑expected household spending data in Japan. Domestic statistics showed household spending rebounded significantly in November, rising about 2.9% year‑on‑year and marking...
  20. RaKotU

    USD: Mixed US data leaves Dollar directionless

    USD Outlook: Mixed US Data Leaves Dollar Directionless The US Dollar is trading without a clear trend as mixed US economic data fails to provide a decisive catalyst, keeping markets in a cautious, range-bound mode. What’s Driving the Stalemate 1. Conflicting Economic Signals Supportive...
  21. RaKotU

    US Dollar stabilizes on mixed US data, Canadian Dollar weighed

    Market Overview – US Dollar & CAD US Dollar (USD) Performance: Stabilizes after mixed US data. Drivers: Positive: Strong services PMI supports USD and economic resilience. Negative: Weaker JOLTS job openings limits further USD gains. Implication: USD remains broadly supported, especially...
  22. RaKotU

    USD/JPY steady as mixed US data, BoJ hawkishness shape sentiment

    Technical Analysis Support & Resistance Immediate support: 156.30 – intraday floor, buyers likely to defend here. Next support: 156.00 – key psychological level and prior swing lows. Resistance: 156.80–157.00 – near-term ceiling, where sellers may step in. Major resistance: 157.50 – historical...
  23. RaKotU

    Gold slips from $4,500 as strong US data dents haven demand

    Technical Analysis Support & Resistance Immediate support: $4,440 – recent intraday lows, first line of defense. Next support: $4,420 – stronger level from prior consolidation. Resistance: $4,480–$4,500 – recent highs where sellers have emerged. Major resistance: $4,520 – psychological barrier...
  24. RaKotU

    FX Today: US data remains in centre stage

    FX Market Overview – Thursday, January 10, 2026 Market Context US economic data continues to dominate FX sentiment, with recent services PMI showing strength while JOLTS job openings disappointed. USD strength remains the central theme, keeping major pairs like EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and USD/JPY...
  25. SxxNGx

    Polymarket, Dow Jones deal puts prediction markets data in Wall Street Journal

    What the deal is • Polymarket, one of the world’s largest prediction‑market platforms, has signed an exclusive partnership with Dow Jones — the publisher of The Wall Street Journal, Barron’s, MarketWatch, and Investor’s Business Daily — to embed **real‑time prediction market data into these...
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    • Forum: Analysis & Ideas
  26. SxxNGx

    ‪Venezuela’s Impact on Bitcoin: Here’s What Onchain Data Reveals Following Recent Developments

    Muted on‑chain reaction to geopolitical news • Despite headlines about U.S. military involvement in Venezuela and the capture of President Nicolás Maduro, Bitcoin’s on‑chain data shows no signs of panic or mass selling. Exchange netflow metrics — which track BTC moving to/from exchanges — remain...
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    • Forum: Analysis & Ideas
  27. account4sell

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  29. RaKotU

    Economic and event calendar in Asia Thursday, January 8, 2026. Chinese Dec trade data

    Asia Economic Calendar – Thursday, Jan 8, 2026 Time (Local) Country Event / Data Forecast Previous 09:30 GMT+8 China December Trade Balance TBD +7.00B USD 09:30 GMT+8 China Exports YoY (Dec) TBD +12.5% 09:30 GMT+8 China Imports YoY (Dec) TBD +5.8% 09:30 GMT+8 China Imports/Exports MoM...
    • RaKotU
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    • Replies: 0
    • Forum: Analysis & Ideas
  30. RaKotU

    EUR/USD slides for third day as strong US data lifts Dollar

    Technical Analysis Support & Resistance Immediate support: 1.1650 – recent intraday lows, key short-term floor. Next support: 1.1620–1.1630 – previous swing lows, stronger technical level. Resistance: 1.1700 – psychological barrier and prior consolidation high. Major resistance: 1.1725–1.1750...
  31. RaKotU

    DATA: Japan November 2025 real wages -2.8%

    Data Overview Actual: -2.8% year-on-year Implication: Real wages continue to decline, reflecting slower income growth after adjusting for inflation. Implications Economic Insight Negative real wages suggest household purchasing power is contracting, which could dampen consumer spending...
  32. RaKotU

    USD/JPY advances above 156.50 on upbeat US services PMI data

    Technical Analysis Support & Resistance Immediate support: 156.30–156.50 – recent breakout zone, now acting as a floor. Next support: 156.00 – key short-term technical level. Resistance: 156.80–157.00 – prior intraday highs where selling may appear. Major resistance: 157.50–157.80 –...
  33. RaKotU

    DATA: Australia November 2025 Trade Balance +2936mn AUD (expected +4900mn)

    Data Overview Actual Trade Balance: +2,936 million AUD Expected: +4,900 million AUD Result: Weaker than expected by nearly 2 billion AUD. Implications Economic Insight The lower-than-expected surplus indicates exports underperformed or imports were stronger than expected. This may reflect...
  34. RaKotU

    Japanese Yen remains on the back foot against USD after weak wages data

    : Technical Analysis Support & Resistance Immediate support: 144.50 – recent intraday lows, a key short-term floor. Next support: 143.80–144.00 – a stronger technical level from prior consolidation. Resistance: 145.20–145.50 – recent highs and short-term supply zone. Trend & Momentum...
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    • Forum: Freebie
  36. RaKotU

    GBP/USD reclaims 1.3500 as US Dollar falters on geopolitical shock, weak data

    GBP/USD climbs back above 1.3500 GBP/USD surged roughly 0.29 percent on Monday, moving back above the 1.3500 handle after bouncing off intraday lows near 1.3413. The rebound reflects a softer U.S. dollar and improved risk sentiment in FX markets. Why the dollar weakened The U.S. dollar lost...
  37. RaKotU

    USD/JPY falls amid weak US manufacturing data, rising Japanese yields

    USD/JPY Weakens on Soft US Data and Rising Japanese Yields 1. Weak US manufacturing data undermines the dollar The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing PMI for the United States fell to 47.9 in December, below expectations and marking the third straight contraction. This weak...
  38. RaKotU

    AUD/USD strengthens above 0.6700 as traders await US data

    AUD/USD gains traction around 0.6715–0.6720 The Australian dollar has firmed against the U.S. dollar, with AUD/USD trading above the 0.6700 mark in early Asian sessions. The pair has been buoyed by a softer U.S. dollar as markets position ahead of important U.S. economic releases that could...
  39. SxxNGx

    Bitcoin Accumulation: Data Shows Institutions Are Net Buyers Again

    1. Institutions Turning Net Buyers Recent on‑chain and institutional flow data show that Bitcoin’s institutional cohort has flipped back into net buying at the start of 2026 after a period of relative selling or stagnation. According to Capriole Investments’ Net Institutional Buying metric...
  40. BlackArmy

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  42. RaKotU

    NZD/USD edges higher to near 0.5800 as US manufacturing data disappoints

    1. Price Action and Immediate Catalyst NZD/USD has edged higher toward the 0.5800 area during Asian trading as the US Dollar weakened on the back of disappointing US manufacturing data. The specific release showed activity in the manufacturing sector came in weaker than market expectations...
  43. RaKotU

    Silver price today: Silver rises, according to FXStreet data

    1. Current Situation Silver (XAG/USD) is rising today, according to FXStreet data. The move reflects safe-haven demand, following geopolitical tensions (US-Venezuela) and cautious market sentiment at the start of 2026. Silver is tracking gold’s strong performance, benefiting from broader...
  44. RaKotU

    EUR/GBP drifts lower, nearing 0.8700 after Eurozone, UK manufacturing data

    1. Current Situation EUR/GBP is drifting lower, approaching 0.8700. The decline comes after the release of Eurozone and UK final manufacturing PMIs for December 2025: Eurozone manufacturing PMI confirmed moderate expansion, but not strong enough to significantly boost EUR. UK manufacturing PMI...
  45. RaKotU

    GBP/USD dips below 1.3450 following final UK manufacturing PMI data

    1. Current Situation GBP/USD has fallen below 1.3450 following the release of the final UK manufacturing PMI for December 2025. The decline reflects market reaction to weaker-than-expected manufacturing activity, combined with broader USD strength amid geopolitical risk. 2. Key Drivers UK...
    • RaKotU
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    • Replies: 0
    • Forum: Analysis & Ideas
  46. RaKotU

    Forecasting the upcoming week: Markets enter the new year calmly, US Dollar stable ahead of key data

    1. General Market Tone Markets are starting the year with calm sentiment, digesting both geopolitical tensions (US-Venezuela) and early economic data from Asia. USD is broadly stable, supported by safe-haven flows and resilient US labor market signals (Fed’s Paulson: “job market bending, not...
    • RaKotU
    • Thread
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    • Replies: 0
    • Forum: Analysis & Ideas
  47. RaKotU

    Economic and event calendar in Asia Monday, January 5, 2026 - Japan and China PMI data

    1. Japan – Manufacturing & Services PMI (Final December 2025) Release: Final manufacturing PMI for December 2025 Previous readings: Preliminary Manufacturing PMI: 49.7 November Manufacturing PMI: 48.7 Final Reading: 50.5 (expansion) Significance: Confirms modest expansion in Japan’s...
    • RaKotU
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    • Forum: Analysis & Ideas
  48. Aurorabchms

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  50. RaKotU

    US Dollar Index rises above 98.50 on US-Venezuela tensions, eyes ISM PMI data

    1. Current Situation The US Dollar Index (DXY) has surged past 98.50, reflecting broad strength in the US dollar against a basket of major currencies. Drivers include geopolitical tensions with Venezuela and anticipation of key US economic data, notably the ISM Manufacturing PMI. The move...
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